2015 Season results for Los Lunas (BV,3-5A)

21   8   5
Rank in
State, Class, District
1165     -132
Strength     Momentum
1127   52.2(32)
SOS,       RPI(RPI Rank)

Season Records:
Overall  12W   8L   0T 
District  4W   6L   0T 
Expected  14:   4+   2- 
("W L T" = Win Loss Tie,
":" = Games won or lost as expected,
"+" = Games won against stronger team,
"-" = Games lost against weaker team)

DateOpponent1 RGWF4 Opp
Strength
ResultExpectation2Playing
Strength
P(Win)3Send
EMail
08/20/15 at Grants 0.000638W 11- 1 Expected (+5)1431 93%
08/22/15 at Moriarty 0.002904W 3- 1 Expected (0)1144 76%
08/25/15 St. Pius ? 0.0031010L 0- 1 Worse (-3)1028 70%
09/01/15 at Hope Christian ?? 0.0101009L 1- 4 Worse (-4) 946 66%
09/03/15 Sandia Prep 0.0171057W 4- 3 Expected (0)1151 65%
09/08/15 Highland ! 0.012845W 7- 0 Expected (+4)1352 84%
09/10/15 Bosque 0.0441317W 3- 1 Better (+3)1332 35%
09/12/15 at Gallup 0.004570W 10- 0 Expected (+4)1397 95%
09/17/15 Capital 0.1151241W 4- 3 Better (+2)1243 43%
09/19/15 at Del Norte 0.016784W 10- 1 Expected (+5)1448 86%
09/22/15 Centennial 0.1911281L 2- 3 Expected (0)1163 40%
09/26/15 at Santa Teresa 0.2881197L 0- 1 Expected (0)1141 44%
09/29/15 at Belen !! 0.041869W 10- 1 Expected (+6)1491 77%
10/03/15 at Chaparral 0.4171237L 2- 5 Expected (-2)1060 40%
10/06/15 at Valencia 0.5741241W 1- 0 Better (+2)1263 39%
10/10/15 at Centennial 0.5221281L 0- 4 Expected (-3)1031 36%
10/13/15 Santa Teresa 0.7901197L 1- 2 Expected (-1)1122 48%
10/17/15 Belen 0.773869W 3- 0 Expected (0)1158 80%
10/22/15 Chaparral 0.9831237W 2- 1 Better (+2)1242 44%
10/24/15 Valencia 0.9551241L 1- 2 Expected (0)1144 44%
      Notes:
      1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game
         Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Los Lunas actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted
      2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin
      3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference
      4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game
      * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage

The median opponent strength is 1127, while
Los Lunas's "weighted playing strength" is 1162
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)

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