21 8 5 Rank in State, Class, District |
1165 -132 Strength Momentum |
1127 52.2(32) SOS, RPI(RPI Rank) |
":" = Games won or lost as expected, "+" = Games won against stronger team, "-" = Games lost against weaker team) |
Date | Opponent1 | RGWF4 | Opp Strength | Result | Expectation2 | Playing Strength | P(Win)3 | Send |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
08/20/15 | at Grants | 0.000 | 638 | W 11- 1 | Expected (+5) | 1431 | 93% | |
08/22/15 | at Moriarty | 0.002 | 904 | W 3- 1 | Expected (0) | 1144 | 76% | |
08/25/15 | St. Pius ? | 0.003 | 1010 | L 0- 1 | Worse (-3) | 1028 | 70% | |
09/01/15 | at Hope Christian ?? | 0.010 | 1009 | L 1- 4 | Worse (-4) | 946 | 66% | |
09/03/15 | Sandia Prep | 0.017 | 1057 | W 4- 3 | Expected (0) | 1151 | 65% | |
09/08/15 | Highland ! | 0.012 | 845 | W 7- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1352 | 84% | |
09/10/15 | Bosque | 0.044 | 1317 | W 3- 1 | Better (+3) | 1332 | 35% | |
09/12/15 | at Gallup | 0.004 | 570 | W 10- 0 | Expected (+4) | 1397 | 95% | |
09/17/15 | Capital | 0.115 | 1241 | W 4- 3 | Better (+2) | 1243 | 43% | |
09/19/15 | at Del Norte | 0.016 | 784 | W 10- 1 | Expected (+5) | 1448 | 86% | |
09/22/15 | Centennial | 0.191 | 1281 | L 2- 3 | Expected (0) | 1163 | 40% | |
09/26/15 | at Santa Teresa | 0.288 | 1197 | L 0- 1 | Expected (0) | 1141 | 44% | |
09/29/15 | at Belen !! | 0.041 | 869 | W 10- 1 | Expected (+6) | 1491 | 77% | |
10/03/15 | at Chaparral | 0.417 | 1237 | L 2- 5 | Expected (-2) | 1060 | 40% | |
10/06/15 | at Valencia | 0.574 | 1241 | W 1- 0 | Better (+2) | 1263 | 39% | |
10/10/15 | at Centennial | 0.522 | 1281 | L 0- 4 | Expected (-3) | 1031 | 36% | |
10/13/15 | Santa Teresa | 0.790 | 1197 | L 1- 2 | Expected (-1) | 1122 | 48% | |
10/17/15 | Belen | 0.773 | 869 | W 3- 0 | Expected (0) | 1158 | 80% | |
10/22/15 | Chaparral | 0.983 | 1237 | W 2- 1 | Better (+2) | 1242 | 44% | |
10/24/15 | Valencia | 0.955 | 1241 | L 1- 2 | Expected (0) | 1144 | 44% |
Notes: 1Games against an opponent in the same district are shown in bold letters; may NOT be an actual district game Numbers in parentheses for reported games are the goals Los Lunas actually scored, relative to what ratings predicted 2Numbers listed for unreported/future games are the most probable winning margin 3P(Win) is the expected winning Percentage -- the statistical success rate for predicting the game winner between teams of this strength difference 4RGWF is the relative weight factor for this game * Game at a neutral site, or unable to determine which team gets home field advantage |
The median opponent strength is 1127, while
Los Lunas's "weighted playing strength" is 1162
(where a win by 4 goals counts 0.66 as much as a 1 goal win, and
a game played on 10/03/15 counts 0.5 that of one played on 10/24/15)
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